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Disrupts Virtuous Circle

Contrary to superficial thinking, a tightened labor pool that forces employers to pay more for scarce labor does not necessarily hurt business nor the economy. It can be a great stimulator of a country’s creativity.

The economist Harry T. Oshima has helpfully described the “virtuous circle” that occurs in an economy that is far different from our own very loose labor market with surpluses of workers.1 He has particularly studied the mid- 1910s and the mid-1920s when immigration was seriously restricted. He notes that during that time, employers were forced to raise wages. That induced the employers to press for major advances in mechanization.

The resulting new technological applications of gasoline and electric machines made it possible to mechanize enough unskilled operations and hand work to release many workers into more skilled jobs. Growth in output per worker hour was phenomenal. That made it possible to raise wages still further. Because of the increasing demand for skilled workers, American parents realized they would need to spend more money to help each child gain a better education. This contributed to lower birth rates, and thus to slower labor-force growth, and thus to tighter labor markets, and thus to higher wages, which pushed manufacturers to push the skill levels of their workers up even further.

In this cycle of productivity and wage gains – each feeding on the other – the United States became a middle-class nation! What we have had for three decades in this nation is the opposite of that economic “virtuous circle;” we have had the “vicious cycle.” The availability of larger and larger numbers of foreign workers has led employers to substitute labor for capital development and innovation.

A key example is the atrophy in our agricultural industry which relies on incredibly low-wage labor instead of continuing its once global leadership in innovation and technology. And, of course, the rising incomes of American workers during a “virtuous circle” economy drives consumer purchasing and business success.

Excerpt taken from testimony before the Subcommittee on Immigration, Border Security and Claims of the Committee on the Judiciary, House of Representatives by Roy Beck, executive director of the NumbersUSA Education & Research Foundation on March 24, 2004. Click here to read the entire testimony.

1 Harry To. Oshima, “The Growth of U.S. Factor Productivity: The Significance of New Technologies in the Early Decades of the Twentieth Century,” Journal of Economic History, vol. 44 (March 1984).

 
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